Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-05 0.000031 0.000032 0.000034 0.000037 0.000039 0.000041 0.000044
2025-10-12 0.000027 0.000030 0.000033 0.000036 0.000040 0.000044 0.000049
2025-10-19 0.000025 0.000028 0.000032 0.000036 0.000041 0.000046 0.000053
2025-10-26 0.000024 0.000027 0.000031 0.000036 0.000042 0.000049 0.000057
2025-11-02 0.000023 0.000027 0.000031 0.000037 0.000043 0.000052 0.000062
2025-11-09 0.000021 0.000025 0.000030 0.000036 0.000043 0.000052 0.000064
2025-11-16 0.000020 0.000024 0.000029 0.000035 0.000043 0.000052 0.000065
2025-11-23 0.000020 0.000024 0.000029 0.000035 0.000044 0.000055 0.000069
2025-11-30 0.000019 0.000023 0.000028 0.000035 0.000044 0.000056 0.000072
2025-12-07 0.000018 0.000022 0.000027 0.000034 0.000043 0.000055 0.000072
2025-12-14 0.000017 0.000021 0.000026 0.000033 0.000042 0.000055 0.000072
2025-12-21 0.000016 0.000020 0.000025 0.000032 0.000041 0.000054 0.000073
2025-12-28 0.000015 0.000019 0.000024 0.000031 0.000041 0.000054 0.000074
2026-01-04 0.000014 0.000018 0.000023 0.000031 0.000041 0.000055 0.000076
2026-01-11 0.000014 0.000018 0.000023 0.000031 0.000041 0.000056 0.000079
2026-01-18 0.000013 0.000018 0.000023 0.000031 0.000042 0.000058 0.000083
2026-01-25 0.000013 0.000017 0.000023 0.000031 0.000043 0.000060 0.000088
2026-02-01 0.000013 0.000017 0.000022 0.000030 0.000042 0.000060 0.000089
2026-02-08 0.000012 0.000016 0.000022 0.000030 0.000042 0.000060 0.000090
2026-02-15 0.000012 0.000016 0.000022 0.000030 0.000043 0.000062 0.000095
2026-02-22 0.000012 0.000016 0.000021 0.000030 0.000043 0.000063 0.000098
2026-03-01 0.000011 0.000015 0.000020 0.000029 0.000042 0.000062 0.000097
2026-03-08 0.000010 0.000014 0.000020 0.000028 0.000041 0.000061 0.000096